Articles | Volume 15, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5699-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5699-2018
Research article
 | 
25 Sep 2018
Research article |  | 25 Sep 2018

Legacies of past land use have a stronger effect on forest carbon exchange than future climate change in a temperate forest landscape

Dominik Thom, Werner Rammer, Rita Garstenauer, and Rupert Seidl

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Cited articles

Albrich, K., Rammer, W., Thom, D., and Seidl, R.: Trade-offs between temporal stability and level of forest ecosystem services provisioning under climate change, Ecol. Appl., https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.1785, 2018. 
Bebi, P., Seidl, R., Motta, R., Fuhr, M., Firm, D., Krumm, F., Conedera, M., Ginzler, C., Wohlgemuth, T., and Kulakowski, D.: Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps, Forest. Ecol. Manage., 388, 43–56, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.10.028, 2017. 
Bonan, G. B.: Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests, Science, 320, 1444–1449, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1155121, 2008. 
Bürgi, M., Östlund, L., and Mladenoff, D. J.: Legacy effects of human land use: Ecosystems as time-lagged systems, Ecosystems, 20, 94–103, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-016-0051-6, 2017. 
Canadell, J. G. and Raupach, M. R.: Managing forests for climate change mitigation, Science, 320, 1456–1457, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1155458, 2008. 
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Short summary
Over the past decades temperate forests were a carbon (C) sink to the atmosphere. Yet the drivers of C uptake and how these affect the future carbon cycle remain uncertain. Our simulation and study revealed that the future C sink of central European forest landscapes is strongly driven by historic land use, while climate change reduces forest C uptake. Compared to land-use change, past natural disturbances (wind and bark beetles) have only marginal effects on the future carbon cycle.
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