Recent past (1979–2014) and future (2070–2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN–MOHYCAN model

Bauwens, Maite; Stavrakou, Trissevgeni; Müller, Jean-François; Van Schaeybroeck, Bert; De Cruz, Lesley; De Troch, Rozemien; Giot, Olivier; Hamdi, Rafiq; Termonia, Piet; Laffineur, Quentin; Amelynck, Crist; Schoon, Niels; Heinesch, Bernard; Holst, Thomas; Arneth, Almut; Ceulemans, Reinhart; Sanchez-Lorenzo, Arturo; Guenther, Alex

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018

Articles | Volume 15, issue 12

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 15, issue 12

Research article

|

19 Jun 2018

Research article |

| 19 Jun 2018

Recent past (1979–2014) and future (2070–2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN–MOHYCAN model

Maite Bauwens, Trissevgeni Stavrakou, Jean-François Müller, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Lesley De Cruz, Rozemien De Troch, Olivier Giot, Rafiq Hamdi, Piet Termonia, Quentin Laffineur, Crist Amelynck, Niels Schoon, Bernard Heinesch, Thomas Holst, Almut Arneth, Reinhart Ceulemans, Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, and Alex Guenther

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'Interactive comments on “Recent past (1979-2014) and future (2070-2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN-MOHYCAN model” by Maite Bauwens et al.', Alexandra-Jane Henrot, 19 Jan 2018
- AC1: 'Reply to Reviewer 1', Maite Bauwens, 04 May 2018
RC2: 'Comments on "Recent past (1979–2014) and future (2070–2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN-MOHYCAN model"', Palmira Messina, 28 Mar 2018
- AC2: 'Reply to Reviewer 2', Maite Bauwens, 04 May 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (06 Jun 2018) by Xinming Wang

AR by Maite Bauwens on behalf of the Authors (06 Jun 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (08 Jun 2018) by Xinming Wang

AR by Maite Bauwens on behalf of the Authors (08 Jun 2018) Author's response Manuscript

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Short summary

Biogenic isoprene fluxes are simulated over Europe with the MEGAN–MOHYCAN model for the recent past and end-of-century climate at high spatiotemporal resolution (0.1°, 3 min). Due to climate change, fluxes increased by 40 % over 1979–2014. Climate scenarios for 2070–2099 suggest an increase by 83 % due to climate, and an even stronger increase when the potential impact of CO₂ fertilization is considered (up to 141 %). Accounting for CO₂ inhibition cancels out a large part of these increases.