Articles | Volume 15, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-187-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-187-2018
Research article
 | 
10 Jan 2018
Research article |  | 10 Jan 2018

Evaluation and uncertainty analysis of regional-scale CLM4.5 net carbon flux estimates

Hanna Post, Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen, Xujun Han, Roland Baatz, Carsten Montzka, Marius Schmidt, and Harry Vereecken

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Cited articles

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Ahlstrom, A., Schurgers, G., Arneth, A., and Smith, B.: Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 4, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008, 2012.
Ali, M., Montzka, C., Stadler, A., Menz, G., Thonfeld, F., and Vereecken, H.: Estimation and Validation of RapidEye-Based Time-Series of Leaf Area Index for Winter Wheat in the Rur Catchment (Germany), Remote Sens., 7, 2808–2831, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70302808, 2015.
Anderson, M. C., Kustas, W. P., and Norman, J. M.: Upscaling and Downscaling – A Regional View of the Soil–Plant–Atmosphere Continuum, Agron. J., 95, 1408–1423, https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2003.1408, 2003.
Arora, V. K., Boer, G. J., Friedlingstein, P., Eby, M., Jones, C. D., Christian, J. R., Bonan, G., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Hajima, T., Ilyina, T., Lindsay, K., Tjiputra, J. F., and Wu, T.: Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models, J. Climate, 26, 5289–5314, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00494.1, 2013.
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Short summary
Estimated values of selected key CLM4.5-BGC parameters obtained with the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach DREAM(zs) strongly altered catchment-scale NEE predictions in comparison to global default parameter values. The effect of perturbed meteorological input data on the uncertainty of the predicted carbon fluxes was notably higher for C3-grass and C3-crop than for coniferous and deciduous forest. A future distinction of different crop types including management is considered essential.
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