Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-1607-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-1607-2018
Research article
 | 
16 Mar 2018
Research article |  | 16 Mar 2018

Ages and transit times as important diagnostics of model performance for predicting carbon dynamics in terrestrial vegetation models

Verónika Ceballos-Núñez, Andrew D. Richardson, and Carlos A. Sierra

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Cited articles

Bolin, B. and Rodhe, H.: A note on the concepts of age distribution and transit time in natural reservoirs, Tellus, 25, 58–62, 1973.
Canadell, J. G., Le Quéré, C., Raupach, M. R., Field, C. B., Buitenhuis, E. T., Ciais, P., Conway, T. J., Gillett, N. P., Houghton, R. A., and Marland, G.: Contributions to accelerating atmospheric CO2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104, 18866–18870, 2007.
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Will the terrestrial biosphere be a carbon source or sink in the future? Different model simulations cannot reach a consensus, so we need to diagnose the performance of these models. We implemented three models differing in their carbon allocation strategies and assessed their performance using three metrics. The most sensible metric was the distribution of carbon age and transit times. Thus, empirical measurements of these distributions could be key to reduce the model uncertainty.
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