Journal cover Journal topic
Biogeosciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic
Volume 14, issue 18
Biogeosciences, 14, 4355–4374, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Biogeosciences, 14, 4355–4374, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4355-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 28 Sep 2017

Research article | 28 Sep 2017

The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation regimes on eastern African vegetation and its future implications under the RCP8.5 warming scenario

Istem Fer et al.
Related authors  
Linking big models to big data: efficient ecosystem model calibration through Bayesian model emulation
Istem Fer, Ryan Kelly, Paul R. Moorcroft, Andrew D. Richardson, Elizabeth M. Cowdery, and Michael C. Dietze
Biogeosciences, 15, 5801–5830, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5801-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5801-2018, 2018
Short summary
Related subject area  
Earth System Science/Response to Global Change: Climate Change
Ideas and perspectives: Synergies from co-deployment of negative emission technologies
Thorben Amann and Jens Hartmann
Biogeosciences, 16, 2949–2960, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-2949-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-2949-2019, 2019
Short summary
Assessment of time of emergence of anthropogenic deoxygenation and warming: insights from a CESM simulation from 850 to 2100 CE
Angélique Hameau, Juliette Mignot, and Fortunat Joos
Biogeosciences, 16, 1755–1780, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1755-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1755-2019, 2019
Short summary
Nutrient cycling in supraglacial environments of the Dark Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Alexandra T. Holland, Christopher J. Williamson, Fotis Sgouridis, Andrew J. Tedstone, Jenine McCutcheon, Joseph M. Cook, Ewa Poniecka, Marian L. Yallop, Martyn Tranter, Alexandre M. Anesio, and The Black & Bloom Group
Biogeosciences Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2019-69,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2019-69, 2019
Revised manuscript accepted for BG
Short summary
Dispersal distances and migration rates at the arctic treeline in Siberia – a genetic and simulation-based study
Stefan Kruse, Alexander Gerdes, Nadja J. Kath, Laura S. Epp, Kathleen R. Stoof-Leichsenring, Luidmila A. Pestryakova, and Ulrike Herzschuh
Biogeosciences, 16, 1211–1224, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1211-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1211-2019, 2019
Short summary
Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change
Rasoul Yousefpour, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, and Julia Pongratz
Biogeosciences, 16, 241–254, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-241-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-241-2019, 2019
Short summary
Cited articles  
Abdi, A. M., Vrieling, A., Yengoh, G. T., Anyamba, A., Seaquist, J. W., Ummenhofer, C. C., and Ardö, J.: The El Niño – La Niña cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands, Climatic Change, 138, 111–125, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1, 2016.
Ahlström, A., Schurgers, G., Arneth, A., and Smith, B.: Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 044008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044008, 2012.
Anyah, R. O. and Semazzi, F. H. M.: Variability of East African rainfall based on multiyear RegCM3 simulations, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 357–371, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1401, 2007.
Appelhans, T. and Nauss, T.: Spatial patterns of sea surface temperature influences on East African precipitation as revealed by empirical orthogonal teleconnections, Front. Earth Sci., 4, 3, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00003, 2016.
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the interannual variability in eastern African rainfall. But we know little about its direct impact on vegetation and how it might change in the future. In this study, we quantified this relationship and predict its future under certain climate change scenarios. Results suggest that we need to consider an increase in future ENSO intensity to cover the full range of potential changes in vegetation responses.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been identified as one of the main drivers for the...
Citation