Articles | Volume 12, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-6955-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-12-6955-2015
Research article
 | 
07 Dec 2015
Research article |  | 07 Dec 2015

Drivers and uncertainties of future global marine primary production in marine ecosystem models

C. Laufkötter, M. Vogt, N. Gruber, M. Aita-Noguchi, O. Aumont, L. Bopp, E. Buitenhuis, S. C. Doney, J. Dunne, T. Hashioka, J. Hauck, T. Hirata, J. John, C. Le Quéré, I. D. Lima, H. Nakano, R. Seferian, I. Totterdell, M. Vichi, and C. Völker

Viewed

Total article views: 7,762 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
4,411 3,181 170 7,762 169 218
  • HTML: 4,411
  • PDF: 3,181
  • XML: 170
  • Total: 7,762
  • BibTeX: 169
  • EndNote: 218
Views and downloads (calculated since 27 Feb 2015)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 27 Feb 2015)

Cited

Saved (final revised paper)

Saved (preprint)

Discussed (final revised paper)

Latest update: 27 Mar 2024
Download
Short summary
We analyze changes in marine net primary production (NPP) and its drivers for the 21st century in 9 marine ecosystem models under the RCP8.5 scenario. NPP decreases in 5 models and increases in 1 model; 3 models show no significant trend. The main drivers include stronger nutrient limitation, but in many models warming-induced increases in phytoplankton growth outbalance the nutrient effect. Temperature-driven increases in grazing and other loss processes cause a net decrease in biomass and NPP.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint